Contagion and tail risk in complex financial networks
نویسندگان
چکیده
New contagion measures based on theories of copula, heavy-tailed distributions and networks are introduced. The applied to study international stock markets during the Global Financial Crisis 2008. Having declined post-crisis, risk remains above its pre-crisis level for both advanced emerging economies. A sub-network analysis shows that shock propagated mainly from core periphery crisis. We propose an instrumental variable regression approach deal with a potential endogeneity problem in as determinants tail risk. Endogeneity might arise indices themselves estimated. obtained results statistically significant suggest more contagion-central countries tend be less prone
منابع مشابه
Financial Networks and Contagion
We model contagions and cascades of failures among organizations linked through a network of financial interdependencies. We identify how the network propagates discontinuous changes in asset values triggered by failures (e.g., bankruptcies, defaults, and other insolvencies) and use that to study the consequences of integration (each organization becoming more dependent on its counterparties) a...
متن کاملContagion in Financial Networks
A the many factors contributing to the financial crisis of 2007–08, the role of the growing interconnectedness of the global financial system is perhaps the least understood. The crisis exposed the fact that regulators and market participants had very limited information about the network of obligations between financial institutions. It also revealed that there was little theoretical understan...
متن کاملSystemic risk, contagion, and financial networks: A survey
The recent crisis has highlighted the crucial role that existing linkages among banks and financial institutions plays in channeling and amplifying shocks hitting the system. The structure and evolution of such web of linkages can be fruitfully characterized using concepts borrowed from the theory of (complex) networks. This paper critically surveys recent theoretical work that exploits this co...
متن کاملOnline Appendix: Financial Networks and Contagion
In this section, we present a three-organization example to illustrate more about how the A and the C matrices can differ. Recall our simple example from Section IG (see Figure 1). There are two organizations, i = 1, 2, each of which has a 50% stake in the other organization. The associated crossholdings matrix C and the dependency matrix A are as follows. (Recall that Ĉii is equal to 1 minus t...
متن کاملContagion in Financial Networks: A Threat Index
Interbank claims are a concern to regulators as they might facilitate the dissemination of defaults and generate spill-over effects. Building on a simple model, this paper introduces a measure of the spill-over effects that a bank generates when it defaults. The measure is based on an explicit criterion, the aggregate debt repayments, and is bank’s specific, affected by the bank’s characteristi...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Banking and Finance
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['1872-6372', '0378-4266']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2022.106560